BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Thornburg Tri-County
Class: 8 Class Rank: 66 Conference: 8-4 Record: (4-26-0) Overall: (16-66-0) Overall Strength = 4.56
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/19/2011 Away L 29.37 15 46 8 29 ( 62- 39- 0) Wyoming Midland 24.06 -55.06
2 08/26/2011 Home L 16.10 8 63 ZZ 27 ( 18- 4- 0) Preston 10.79 * -65.79
3 09/02/2011 Home W 43.74 48 6 ZZ 69 ( 2- 35- 0) Ankeny Christian 38.43 3.57
4 09/09/2011 Away L * 32.38 42 44 1 8 58 ( 48- 49- 0) Bussey Twin Cedars 27.07 -29.07
5 09/16/2011 Home W 26.04 63 26 ZZ 72 ( 2- 34- 0) Seymour 20.73 16.27
6 09/23/2011 Away L 16.17 14 28 8 62 ( 48- 44- 0) Melcher-Dallas 10.86 -24.86
7 09/30/2011 Away W 41.10 51 34 8 65 ( 31- 62- 0) Tama Meskwaki 35.79 -18.79
8 10/07/2011 Home W 23.18 50 6 ZZ 73 ( 1- 26- 0) Farmington Harmony 17.87 26.13
9 10/14/2011 Home W 65.34 46 6 ZZ 58 ( 19- 45- 0) Des Moines Grandview 60.03 -20.03
10 10/21/2011 Away L * 25.98 41 47 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia 20.68 -26.68
11 10/26/2011 Away L 10.26 7 56 ZZ 38 ( 35- 20- 0) Adair-Casey 4.95 -53.95
12 08/24/2012 Away W 35.58 43 0 ZZ 72 ( 2- 34- 0) Seymour 30.27 12.73
13 08/31/2012 Home L 29.26 14 32 8 40 ( 58- 40- 0) Lamoni 23.95 -41.95
14 09/07/2012 Away W * 71.98 46 6 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia 66.68 -26.68
15 09/14/2012 Home L 25.77 16 51 8 22 ( 75- 31- 0) Victor HLV 20.46 -55.46
16 09/21/2012 Away L -43.83 0 74 8 62 ( 48- 44- 0) Melcher-Dallas -49.14 -24.86
17 09/28/2012 Away L 8.24 8 50 A 53 ( 51- 41- 0) Corydon Wayne 2.93 -44.93
18 10/05/2012 Home L 17.34 16 24 ZZ 58 ( 19- 45- 0) Des Moines Grandview 12.03 -20.03
19 10/12/2012 Home L -11.45 20 52 8 65 ( 31- 62- 0) Tama Meskwaki -16.75 -15.25
20 10/19/2012 Away L * -8.62 6 49 8 58 ( 48- 49- 0) Bussey Twin Cedars -13.93 -29.07
21 08/23/2013 Home L 26.52 28 62 A 40 ( 38- 36- 0) Southwest Valley 21.21 -55.21 ND
22 08/30/2013 Home W 53.04 72 8 ZZ 72 ( 2- 34- 0) Seymour 47.73 16.27
23 09/06/2013 Away L 8.80 6 48 8 40 ( 58- 40- 0) Lamoni 3.50 -45.50 ND
24 09/13/2013 Home W * 56.44 66 38 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia 51.13 -23.13
25 09/20/2013 Away L 24.31 8 48 8 22 ( 75- 31- 0) Victor HLV 19.01 * -59.01
26 09/27/2013 Home L 2.63 20 44 8 62 ( 48- 44- 0) Melcher-Dallas -2.68 -21.32
27 10/04/2013 Home L -20.30 0 67 A 53 ( 51- 41- 0) Corydon Wayne -25.61 -41.39
28 10/11/2013 Away W 29.88 16 15 ZZ 58 ( 19- 45- 0) Des Moines Grandview 24.57 -23.57
29 10/18/2013 Away L -21.90 8 54 8 65 ( 31- 62- 0) Tama Meskwaki -27.21 -18.79
30 10/25/2013 Home L * -19.16 12 62 8 58 ( 48- 49- 0) Bussey Twin Cedars -24.47 -25.53
31 08/29/2014 Away L * 3.98 12 40 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia -1.32 -26.68
32 09/05/2014 Home W 15.18 44 8 ZZ 73 ( 1- 26- 0) Farmington Harmony 9.87 26.13
33 09/12/2014 Away L * -12.43 8 50 8 63 ( 27- 67- 0) English Valleys -17.74 -24.26
34 09/19/2014 Home L -12.23 6 79 8 22 ( 75- 31- 0) Victor HLV -17.54 -55.46
35 09/26/2014 Away L -9.96 8 62 8 50 ( 41- 56- 0) Colo-NESCO -15.27 -38.73
36 10/03/2014 Home L -13.11 6 54 8 54 ( 22- 65- 0) Dunkerton -18.41 -29.59
37 10/10/2014 Home L -37.45 6 64 8 65 ( 31- 62- 0) Tama Meskwaki -42.75 -15.25
38 10/17/2014 Away L -29.97 6 52 ZZ 67 ( 4- 13- 0) Des Moines Grand Vie -35.28 -10.72
39 10/24/2014 Home L -6.27 6 102 8 3 (112- 10- 0) Don Bosco -11.58 * -84.42
40 08/21/2015 Home L -25.77 0 24 8 67 ( 5- 49- 0) Seymour SMU -31.08 7.08 ND
41 08/28/2015 Home L * -21.56 0 50 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia -26.87 -23.13 ND
42 09/04/2015 Away W 7.72 39 14 ZZ 73 ( 1- 26- 0) Farmington Harmony 2.41 22.59 ND
43 09/11/2015 Home L * -0.98 6 33 8 63 ( 27- 67- 0) English Valleys -6.28 -20.72
44 09/18/2015 Away L 11.31 6 59 8 22 ( 75- 31- 0) Victor HLV 6.01 * -59.01
45 09/25/2015 Home L -24.51 6 71 8 50 ( 41- 56- 0) Colo-NESCO -29.82 -35.18
46 10/02/2015 Away L -12.56 6 57 8 54 ( 22- 65- 0) Dunkerton -17.87 -33.13
47 10/09/2015 Away L -13.90 6 44 8 65 ( 31- 62- 0) Tama Meskwaki -19.21 -18.79
48 10/23/2015 Away L 29.28 0 64 8 3 (112- 10- 0) Don Bosco 23.97 * -87.97
49 08/19/2016 Away W * 33.57 12 8 8 63 ( 27- 67- 0) English Valleys 28.26 -24.26 was 08/19 now 08/19 AND End of 3 rd ND
50 08/26/2016 Away L * 0.39 0 66 8 21 ( 63- 35- 0) Lone Tree -4.92 * -61.08 ND
51 09/02/2016 Home L * -12.78 12 74 8 38 ( 42- 49- 0) Wayland WACO -18.09 -43.91 ND
52 09/09/2016 Home L -10.37 30 67 8 62 ( 48- 44- 0) Melcher-Dallas -15.68 -21.32
53 09/16/2016 Away L * -21.62 8 64 8 58 ( 48- 49- 0) Bussey Twin Cedars -26.93 -29.07
54 09/23/2016 Home L -2.77 46 47 8 67 ( 5- 49- 0) Seymour SMU -8.08 7.08
55 09/30/2016 Away L 9.31 0 55 8 22 ( 75- 31- 0) Victor HLV 4.01 * -59.01
56 10/07/2016 Home L * -30.56 14 73 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia -35.87 -23.13
57 10/14/2016 Away L -11.90 34 70 8 65 ( 31- 62- 0) Tama Meskwaki -17.21 -18.79
58 10/21/2016 Away L -31.96 0 76 8 50 ( 41- 56- 0) Colo-NESCO -37.27 -38.73
59 08/18/2017 Home L * -15.98 0 42 8 63 ( 27- 67- 0) English Valleys -21.28 -20.72 ND
60 08/25/2017 Home L * -4.15 0 67 8 21 ( 63- 35- 0) Lone Tree -9.46 -57.54 ND
61 09/01/2017 Away L * 13.76 14 53 8 38 ( 42- 49- 0) Wayland WACO 8.45 -47.45 ND
62 09/08/2017 Away L -5.83 28 64 8 62 ( 48- 44- 0) Melcher-Dallas -11.14 -24.86
63 09/15/2017 Home L * -17.16 6 54 8 58 ( 48- 49- 0) Bussey Twin Cedars -22.47 -25.53
64 09/22/2017 Away W 19.77 38 20 8 67 ( 5- 49- 0) Seymour SMU 14.46 3.54
65 09/29/2017 Home L 2.77 0 58 8 22 ( 75- 31- 0) Victor HLV -2.54 -55.46
66 10/06/2017 Away L * -20.02 0 52 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia -25.32 -26.68
67 10/13/2017 Home W 64.55 56 12 8 65 ( 31- 62- 0) Tama Meskwaki 59.25 -15.25
68 10/20/2017 Home L 34.49 28 34 8 50 ( 41- 56- 0) Colo-NESCO 29.18 -35.18
69 08/31/2018 Away L * -29.10 0 72 8 52 ( 29- 63- 0) Winfield-Mt Union -34.41 -37.59
70 09/07/2018 Home L -4.39 6 64 8 33 ( 48- 46- 0) Marengo Iowa Valley -9.70 -48.30
71 09/14/2018 Home L * -39.98 0 66 8 63 ( 27- 67- 0) English Valleys -45.28 -20.72
72 09/21/2018 Away L * -19.86 8 81 8 36 ( 46- 49- 0) New London -25.17 -47.83
73 09/28/2018 Home L * -7.79 0 74 8 18 ( 61- 39- 0) Montezuma -13.09 * -60.91
74 10/05/2018 Away L * 9.39 0 57 8 21 ( 63- 35- 0) Lone Tree 4.08 * -61.08
75 10/12/2018 Home L -5.23 6 72 8 22 ( 75- 31- 0) Victor HLV -10.54 -55.46
76 10/19/2018 Away L * 5.76 8 55 8 38 ( 42- 49- 0) Wayland WACO 0.45 -47.45
77 08/28/2020 Away L * 6.90 8 44 8 52 ( 29- 63- 0) Winfield-Mt Union 1.59 -37.59
78 09/04/2020 Home L -0.51 8 49 8 50 ( 41- 56- 0) Colo-NESCO -5.82 -35.18 ND
79 09/11/2020 Home L * -31.98 0 58 8 63 ( 27- 67- 0) English Valleys -37.28 -20.72
80 09/18/2020 Away W * 48.38 42 28 8 58 ( 48- 49- 0) Bussey Twin Cedars 43.07 -29.07
81 10/09/2020 Home L * -12.56 12 53 8 61 ( 44- 52- 0) Moravia -17.87 -23.13
82 10/16/2020 Away L 20.00 6 68 8 7 ( 83- 27- 0) Brooklyn BGM 14.69 * -76.69
Averages 4.56 17.0 48.4
Best game: 71.98 = 40 point win over Moravia
Worst game: -43.83 = 74 point loss to Melcher-Dallas
Team stdev: 26.04